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Avalilação PREreview de Emergence of short-lived meningococci causing focal epidemics can be associated with gene transfer from carriage-associated Neisseria

Publicado
DOI
10.5281/zenodo.24032361
Licença
CC BY 4.0

Summary

In Kent, UK, there was an unusually large outbreak of invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) with 21 cases; all were hospitalized, nine required intensive care, and there were two deaths. Following the outbreak, researchers wanted to deduce why outbreaks, like the one in Kent, are so invasive yet short-lived. The preprint proposes that through horizontal gene transfer (HGT), the variant acquired DNA from carriage- and disease-associated meningococci and Neisseria cinerea. Through whole-genome sequencing and genomic analysis of six isolates, the researchers proposed that iron acquisition, type IV pili, and immune evasion were affected by the recombination events. They then looked at historical outbreak variants and found that they had also acquired genes from other carriage organisms, leading them to conclude that outbreaks can arise from HGT events and increase invasiveness but not transmission. The preprint supports the genomic surveillance of both carriage- and disease-associated bacteria.

Strengths

  1. Supports structural changes with genomic observations.

The authors propose structural protein changes after matching the identified gene changes. It shows what the potential consequences of these recombination events are rather than just identifying that changes occurred. This also sets the stage for future studies on the Kent variant.

  1. Comparison to historical outbreaks.

By comparing that similar HGT events occurred in previous outbreak variants, they provide evidence that the Kent variant was not an isolated, unique event. Future studies can examine these outbreaks more closely as evolutionary mechanisms.

  1. Strong genomic surveillance.

The researchers compared the genomes of the six isolates against a substantial genomic dataset of over 48,000 meningococcal genomes. They identified the closest phylogenetic relatives and meningococcal lineages to identify where the HGT DNA was acquired.

Major concerns

  1. The hypothesized acquired genes are not proven to have caused the abnormal invasiveness of the Kent outbreak.

While the researchers identify possible genetic changes, they don’t definitively prove that they increased the invasiveness of the variant; the findings don’t establish causality.

  1. Protein modeling and structural predictions aren’t evidence of functional changes.

Potential consequences are inferred but not proven. It is more fitting for hypothesis generation for future studies rather than conclusive evidence that such changes increased invasiveness or decreased transmissibility of the Kent variant.

  1. Not detecting a strain after an outbreak does not necessarily mean it is extinct.

The authors make the claim that the Kent variant disappeared after the short-lived outbreak. However, a variant could still be circulating but undetected; just because it is not detected doesn’t mean it is gone entirely. It could be circulating and existing asymptomatically, so there is no sign to screen for it.

Competing interests

The author declares that they have no competing interests.

Use of Artificial Intelligence (AI)

The author declares that they did not use generative AI to come up with new ideas for their review.

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