Saltar al contenido principal

Escribe una PREreview

Early Detection of DMA-Level Leaks in Water Networks Using Robust Regression Ensemble Framework

Publicada
Servidor
Preprints.org
DOI
10.20944/preprints202601.1525.v1

Leakage detection in water distribution networks is critical for effective localization to address water scarcity, yet the scarcity of correctly annotated leak events limits the use of supervised learning methods. Generating hydraulic simulation-based datasets are often challenging due to incomplete network topology and sparse sensor coverage. Unsupervised approaches relying on single-model-anomaly scores frequently struggle to balance sensitivity and accuracy. This study proposes a regression-ensemble framework that learns the District Metered Area (DMA)-specific demand-supply dynamics to detect emerging leaks using smart meter data. Regression models - Random Forest, Support Vector Regression, XGBoost, and Multi-Layer Perceptron, are trained on DMA-consumption and supply data – preprocessed to preserve background leakage while detecting and correcting emerging leaks. Deviations between predicted and observed supply are quantified through Pearson correlation, Kendall’s Tau, and Z-score, whose anomaly indications are combined at metric and model levels using weights derived from model-prediction accuracy. A leak is identified once the ensemble anomaly-score crosses a threshold. The system reliably detects leaks within 8-12 hours of onset, achieving 91\% accuracy on simulated leak scenarios and 98\% accuracy for available real leak cases with 0.5 as the anomaly-score threshold. Our proposed framework demonstrates the potential of smart meter-driven ensemble analytics for rapid and robust leak detection.

Puedes escribir una PREreview de Early Detection of DMA-Level Leaks in Water Networks Using Robust Regression Ensemble Framework. Una PREreview es una revisión de un preprint y puede variar desde unas pocas oraciones hasta un extenso informe, similar a un informe de revisión por pares organizado por una revista.

Antes de comenzar

Te pediremos que inicies sesión con tu ORCID iD. Si no tienes un iD, puedes crear uno.

¿Qué es un ORCID iD?

Un ORCID iD es un identificador único que te distingue de otros/as con tu mismo nombre o uno similar.

Comenzar ahora