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Validation of Anti-Synchronization in Chaotic Systems Using Systemic Tau from Padilla-Villanueva (2025)

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Preprints.org
DOI
10.20944/preprints202509.1894.v2

This study investigates anti-synchronization in chaotic systems, building on frameworks by Pecora and Carroll [1] and Mainieri and Rehacek [2], validated through 2022 doctoral fieldwork in Puerto Rico’s Caño Martín Peña [3]. Anti-synchronization, characterized by divergent dynamics, is quantified using Systemic Tau (τs) as defined in Padilla-Villanueva (2025) [4], revealing hidden patterns in fluctuating Aedes aegypti populations amidst complexity.The analysis utilizes a discrete event-based time model, as established in Padilla-Villanueva (2025) [4], guided by Feigenbaum constants (δ ≈ 4.669, α ≈ 2.502) [5], to highlight anti-synchronization during bifurcations, marked by a threshold Ε ≈ 0.41, linked to mosquito population shifts during precipitation events (e.g., weeks 20-30, 2018, with τs = -0.469 ± 0.280, and weeks 45-50 with τs = -0.733 ± 0.200 from NOAA PRCP.cum data [3]). Empirical data from 104-week trap counts (S1-S5) show anti-synchronization, with S1 declining 20% and S3 rising 15% at a 9.4 mm PRCP.cum peak (2017-12-29), yielding τs = -0.469 ± 0.280 (p = 0.064, t = -2.89, p = 0.02). Simulations beyond the Feigenbaum point (r ≈ 3.57) and fractional extensions (α = 0.8 to 1.0) with 10-15% noise tolerance further confirm divergent patterns, suggesting applications in ecological stability and chaos management.

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